Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000088 0.000093 0.000098 0.000103 0.000109 0.000115 0.000122
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000084 0.000091 0.000099 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000081 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000125 0.000142
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000080 0.000089 0.000101 0.000115 0.000133 0.000157
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000079 0.000089 0.000103 0.000120 0.000141 0.000172
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000107 0.000128 0.000155 0.000196
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000105 0.000126 0.000156 0.000200
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000073 0.000085 0.000101 0.000124 0.000154 0.000201
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000101 0.000125 0.000158 0.000212
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000071 0.000084 0.000103 0.000129 0.000167 0.000230
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000069 0.000082 0.000101 0.000128 0.000168 0.000237
2025-04-06 0.000055 0.000066 0.000079 0.000097 0.000124 0.000164 0.000234
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000122 0.000163 0.000237
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091 0.000118 0.000159 0.000235
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000120 0.000166 0.000253
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000093 0.000124 0.000175 0.000278
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000094 0.000128 0.000185 0.000306
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000099 0.000137 0.000205 0.000359
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000096 0.000134 0.000203 0.000363
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000056 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000199 0.000360
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000132 0.000203 0.000382
2025-06-15 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000094 0.000136 0.000215 0.000425
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000135 0.000216 0.000438